WP2-Evaluating changes in exposed elements at risk and their vulnerability

WP Leader: UNIVIE (Thomas Glade)

The aim of this Work Package is to evaluate environmental changes, triggered by global change (including climate change) and interacting with economic development, leading to changes in exposed elements at risk. The assessment of former distributions and the characterization and analysis of the current exposed elements at risk will form the basis of the work. Future scenarios for the location and type of exposed elements at risk depend on a number of factors, which are related to global change, but also to future economic developments and implementation of policies for land use planning. For the characterization of elements at risk and vulnerability a lot of work has been carried out in recent European research projects such as ENSURE and MOVE. The vulnerability to flooding is generally much better understood and characterized than for mass movements. The uncertainty level in vulnerability approaches should be evaluated based on historical damage catalogues, modelling and expert opinion. Indices for comprehensive, or holistic vulnerability assessment that include uncertainty levels will also be analysed and integrated within a dynamic context, focusing on characterization of future changes.




Malek Ž., Patt A., Schröter D. (2012). Identification of Ecosystem Services in the Subcarpathians of Buzău County in Romania. Conference proceeding at the Forum Carpaticum 2012
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Malek Ž., Patt A., Schröter D. (2012), Analysing recent land use change with respect to ecosystem services provision in mountain areas. Poster presentation at the ECOCHANGE Final conference, Zurich
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Hussin,H.Y., Quan Luna,B.van Westen,C.J., Christen,M., Malet,J.-P. and van Asch, Th. W. J. (2012) Parameterization of a numerical 2-D debris flow model with entrainment: a case study of the Faucon catchment, Southern French Alps. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 12, 3075-3090

Papathoma-Köhle, M., Keiler, M., Totschnig, R., Glade, T.(2012), Improvement of vulnerability curves using data from extreme events: debris flow event in South Tyrol. Natural Hazards , pp. 1-23

Kappes, M.S., Malet, J.-P., Remaître, A., Horton, P., Jaboyedoff, M., Bell, R. (2011). Assessment of debris-flow susceptibility at medium-scale in the Barcelonnette Basin, France. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science Volume 11, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 627-641

Peters-Guarin, G., McCall, M.K. and van Westen, C.J. (2012) Coping strategies and risk manageability : using participatory geographical information systems to represent local knowledge. In: Disasters : the journal of disaster studies policy and management, 36 (2012)1 pp. 1-27

Jaboyedoff, M., Oppikofer, T., Abellán, A., Derron, M.-H., Loye, A., Metzger, R., Pedrazzini, A. (2012) Use of LIDAR in landslide investigations: A review. Natural Hazards 61 (1) , pp. 5-28

Lari, S., Crosta, G.B., Frattini, P., Horton, P., Jaboyedoff, M. (2011) Regional-scale debris-flow risk assessment for an alpine valley. International Conference on Debris-Flow Hazards Mitigation: Mechanics, Prediction, and Assessment, Proceedings , pp. 933-940

van Westen, C.J., Jaiswal, P., Ghosh, S., Martha, T.R. and Kuriakose, S.L. (2012) Landslide inventory, hazard and risk assessment in India. In: Terrigenous mass movements : detection modelling, early warning and mitigation using geoinformation technology / ed. by b. Pradhan and M. Buchroithner. Berlin: Springer, 2012. ISBN 978-3-642-25495-6 pp. 239-282

van Westen, C.J., Straatsma, M.W., Turdukulov, U.D., Feringa, W.F., Sijmons, K., Bakhtadze, K., Janelidze, T., Kheladze, N. and ... [et al.] (2012) Atlas of natural hazards and risks of Georgia : e-book. Tbilisi, Caucasus Environmental NGO Network (CENN), University of Twente Faculty of Geo-Information and Earth Observation (ITC), 2012. ISBN: 978-9941-0-4310-9.